Mortgage Credit News – December 18, 2009

Long-term rates are falling, a brief bout of economic optimism now replaced by renewed “Who knows?” Mortgages are 5-ish (might find a 4-prefix in your stocking) and the 10-year T-note is trying to head back under 3.50%. The optimism crested with a surge in Producer Prices (core up .5% in November), and industrial production better […]

Mortgage Credit News – December 11, 2009

Long-term Treasury yields pierced the post-August high, 3.50%, trading today at 3.57%, but did little damage to mortgage rates still holding close to 5.00%. The proximate causes of the rise: another huge week of Treasury borrowing finally ran into resistance (another $1.4 trillion coming in 2010, so why hurry to buy the paper?), and some […]

Mortgage Credit News – December 4, 2009

Mortgage and long Treasury rates are rising toward four-month highs this morning (5.25% and 3.49%) on a happy surprise in the job market. The monthly survey of big business “non-farm payrolls” found an end to job losses, and got some confirmation from an abrupt drop in the last two weeks’ claims for unemployment insurance. Other […]

Mortgage Credit News – November 20, 2009

Chairman Bernanke’s extraordinary speech on Monday instantly knocked 10-year Treasurys below 3.35%, where they have stayed. Lowest-fee mortgages are 5.00%. Economic data increased the tilt in markets toward concern for the recovery. Retail sales flattened to a .2% gain in October (ex-autos), breaking an apparent up-trend. New claims for unemployment insurance were unchanged at 505,000 […]

Mortgage Credit News – October 23, 2009

Treasury and mortgage rates have again reached their post-August highs, but still in tight ranges: the 10-year T-note 3.48%, low-fee mortgages just under 5.25%. The producer price index fell hard in September, down .6%, the much-hoped-for re-building of inventories not yet underway. Initial claims for unemployment insurance unexpectedly rose, back in the 525,000-550,000 weekly band. […]

Mortgage Credit News – August 28, 2009

In this last, drowsy week of summer, long-term rates were unchanged: the 10-year T-note held under 3.50%, lowest-fee mortgages about 5.25%. Summer has another three weeks to run to solstice, but it’s all-hands-on-deck next week before a late Labor Day to deal with the first August data, especially Friday’s employment report. The change in payrolls […]

Mortgage Credit News – July 31, 2009

Interest rates are a hair lower at week’s end, more in relief that another massive Treasury borrowing — $109 billion in term debt alone — came off without injuries. However, long-term Treasury rates have been elevated since May, pushing mortgages to 5.50%, past the edge of refinance demand, and near the limit of buyer demand. […]

Mortgage Credit News – July 2, 2009

News of a 467,000-job loss in June, one-third worse than forecast, is hurting stocks but no help to long rates: the 10-year is stuck at 3.50%, mortgages just under 5.50%. Green Shooters say the payroll weakness was magnified by temporary auto-plant closings, and they point to signs of bottom in auto sales and housing prices, […]

A Credit to Humanity?

As anyone who has recently applied for a mortgage has discovered, credit reports are no longer evaluated by humans, and instead are numerically scored by computer software (the most common: “FICO” scores). Similar systems are used to underwrite all other consumer loans, though not as comprehensively as in the mortgage business, where the larger sums […]